Will I move to the Bay Area?

A public tracker of my (and friends’) rolling probability estimate for this question:

On July 1, 2026, will Cormac affirm he expects to spend ≥70% of days in the Bay Area between July 1, 2026 and January 1, 2028?

Resolves July 1, 2026. There’s a scoring system. I’m not explaining it. Some points accrue over time, others get awarded in lumps at the end. Intangibles absolutely matter. Figure out the rest. May 12. June 1. A prize is almost certainly involved.